Friday, February 21, 2014

Gold Miner Breadth Oscillator -- Beginning or End - Myra P. Saefong's article - What does it mean ? Where does the Oscillator point ?

LINK for STEALTH BREAKOUT STOCK REPORT

HERE IS THE ARTICLE   The author is quite competent, but for sure stuck in MSM where the big salaries are.  No, I am not slamming her, I am saying this is where you go to get Big BUX, and to get that, you can't get in their faces over Gold.  Once you have a niche as does the author, you can professionally disagree.
MEET BUBBA GUMP, he is to the volume as the Breadth Oscillator is to Advances & Declines, and back in June, not July, BUBBA began to tell us that there was a lot of volume moving into the GDX, volume that when tracked directly paralleled if not shadowed GIMBO, in the Advance Side.  You see that like any good Lie Detector, BUBBA just kept ramping even when the Index declined.   UNTIL the US Thanksgiving, when the GDX finally remembered it was a GOLD STOCK INDEX.  At that time BUBBA Again gave a buy signal, (Red over Green Crossover).  Mind you this is a WEEKLY chart so its a bit longer term, but still quite relevant as it is the Upwelling Volume under this Rally.

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Lets go back to the Subject at Hand, the Gold Miners Oscillator.  Lets look at where the reaction might come to.......

  Slightly different time scale, same result.   From JUN of this I drew in the SRLs for BUBBA which mark Trendlines 1 (bottom) and Trendline 2 ( middle ), where the BUBBA's energy may bounce.  Back at Thanksgiving BUBBA bounced off Trendline #2, and this most noticeable and public of Rallies showed up.
      Again there is a lot important about the GOLD MINER OSCILLATOR that is too much for here so when you SUBSCRIBE to PEAK PICKS (Click This) we work with it directly, and you can get what you need to be exactly with what its doing and where its pointing.
     Now the Oscillator is interesting but how do we make money.  With individual stocks.  Today's PEAK PICKS had the 6 major Break Out Leaders, which acquired RIGHT will make almost anyone good profits.  Here is one of my Fav's  SSRI, a strong and volatile stock and leader in this rally:

             So do you have to "suck it up" and take the risk of getting in on a LOCAL TOP and be underwater for How Long? in order to get a position in this rally or do you buy a DOG that has not and may not respond?   Further what is the difference btwn SSRI and this XYZ stock ?

      Simple but not obvious, SSRI has broken free, and XYZ is a SLEEPER !
Today's PEAK PICKS reviewed the Six (6) Leading BREAKOUTS and how to ride them, after we posted yesterday on The SIX SLEEPERS we think best Technically supported and poised to both BREAK OUT and run for decent gains.
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Monday, February 17, 2014

RED ZONE, now WHAT >?


  So does this mean we have a Score?  Has your stock scored?  Lets look and see " WHO IS ON FIRST ".
  So interesting has been this time since the American Thanksgiving !!  We have had stocks move like never before, in the last two years, as the PM Complex shows its underlying strength.
   In this time PEAK PICKS has monitored a number of popular PM Stocks, in their short term formations, and observed them turning into DAILY BREAKOUTS such as
and
and thus we see that on the big Friday they went out and became Daily Breakouts.

Who is next ?  Will it Be :
or will it be :
So whether its some of these guys:
ABX, AEM, AGI, ANV, AR.TO, AU, AUQ, AUY, BTG, BVN, CDE, EGO, FNV, GFI, GG, GOLD, GDRZF, GSS, HL, HMY, IAG, KGC, MUX, NEM NGO, NSU, OSKFF, PAAS,
  
or some of these guys:

RGLD, SA, SAND, SLW, SSRI, TGD, TRX, VGZ, SVLC, SIL, SILJ, TAHO, HBM, SEMFF, GPL, EXN.To, VALE, PALL, GSV, TC, BAA, DDC, DTG.TO, TGB, RBY, AUMN, AXR, MVG, MGN, NEM, PG.To, MGH, EGI, SWC, RIO, PPLT, AGQ, ZSL, CEF, MNT.To, DRD, ASR.To, PVG, LODE, SAND, LSG


You can catch one of the fast trains out of DODGE, catching them before they go LONG TERM POSITIVE by signing up with PEAK PICKS.

We covered these and more in our last year of analysis, all of which is available with our regular subscription. I like a lot of them and you can get entries, stops and objectives in PEAK PICKS, by specific requests we work on for our subscribers. Come aboard, its good....SUBSCRIBE HERE

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Sunday, February 9, 2014

GOLD MINER LT BREADTH OSCILLATOR and those stocks. WHERE ARE WE NOW ? week ended FEB 7, 2014


On a weekly basis, the KST (MACD – work alike) on GIMBO bottomed out at -375. It is in fact, an oscillator that has no fixed boundary up or down. Likewise, the MACD on the GDX bottomed out at

(-4.64), almost a 100 pt lower match. Were things symmetrical, which they will not be, that would indicate we'd attain those measures on the next up leg, much like a seesaw.

Using my powers of imagination, I'd look for an upside surge, but not to those levels, before we get a correction. As the market moves in a given direction the steps can get stronger and longer, eventually overshooting any reasonable levels due to human overreactions.


As we have seen those overreactions based on Bear Moves at the End of a Bear Cycle, I'd expect to see those kind of OverShoot moves several legs up into the Bull Cycle.



Both Charts, GDX and Breadth Oscillator show me a hesitation, correction and now consolidation, building the base for the next upleg.

The BREADTH OSCILLATOR moves up and down with Fixed BOUNDS, always crossing to the upside and downside of ZED or ZERO. GDX and the MACD of GDX which can move UNLIMITED amounts in either direction. Thus GIMBO (both Long & Short Term) the Breadth Oscillator, is a Relative Value, while the GDX price or the MACD is an Absolute Value, with GIMBO moving like a gear inside a wheel, an indication of the motion or momentum, up or down, inside the wheel.

GIMBO = Relative Momentum, GDX & MACD = TREND.



BOTTOM LINE. Both GDX & its MACD are in a Low, Recoiled Place, GDX below a Red Ichimoku Cloud (which supplies us with a Time Trend and Balance Point)(and acts as a Magnetic Pull to prices below it). GDX MACD bottomed hard at (-) 4.64, and has moved strongly up, 75% to the way to ZERO Equilibrium. I expect it to keep moving, cross ABOVE Zero and then react, consolidate and move on up again. So it will be:

Rally, Correct, Consolidate, Resume, IMO from here.

Now about those stocks: 
ABX, AEM, AGI, ANV, AR.TO, AU, AUQ, AUY, BTG, BVN, CDE, EGO, FNV, GFI, GG, GOLD, GDRZF, GSS, HL, HMY, IAG, KGC, MUX, NEM NGO, NSU, OSKFF, PAAS,

RGLD, SA, SAND, SLW, SSRI, TGD, TRX, VGZ, SVLC, SIL, SILJ, TAHO, HBM, SEMFF, GPL, EXN.To, VALE, PALL, GSV, TC, BAA, DDC, DTG.TO, TGB, RBY, AUMN, AXR, MVG, MGN, NEM, PG.To, MGH, EGI, SWC, RIO, PPLT, AGQ, ZSL, CEF, MNT.To, DRD, ASR.To, PVG, LODE, SAND, LSG, and some I have forgotten to add.

We covered these and more in our last year of analysis, all of which is available with our regular subscription. I like a lot of them and you can get entries, stops and objectives in PEAK PICKS, by specific requests we work on for our subscribers. Come aboard, its good....SUBSCRIBE HERE

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DGS

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