Friday, March 30, 2012

The FRONT PAGE



the guys down manning the pumps are getting tired, as the FED has pumped the DOW up to 13K+  and everytime it gets close, POOF, it drops. HMM wonder why.   So you ask will it be an '87 POOF type FLASH Crash, or will it be a "death by a thousand cuts" over the Summer ( "Sell in May and go away") ?
Someone's blog posits the DOW could drop 1,000 pts on announcement of WAR with IRAN.  Is that NEWS?  NAW !  We already have experienced an 800 pt FLASH Crash, so its not NEW.  Painful, not NEW.


     This was one of our features on Denaliguide's FRONT PAGE, you can get FREE when  you sign up in the BLUE BOX on the Right Hand Sidebar.  Its Free, its timely and incisive.  IMO this wedge says to us that this advance pumping or not, is toast by End of April.  Good Luck

Friday, March 23, 2012

It wasn't pretty for the FED - The Silver Storm

A mauling of the first order, occurred on Feb 29 when Ron Paul lectured Ben Bernanke about his failure to maintain the purchasing power of the US Dollar during his tenure as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank.
  The entire four and a half minutes were an acute embarrassment to Chairman Bernanke for Dr.Paul conclusive established his point much to the Chairman's visible discomfort.  The real fire works start at 2:00 in this video.

 VIDEO LINKED-> here http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXXB8ETjEVc

  This in my mind establishes the vehemence of the subsequent tsunami of paper silver, unleashed that day, which say the paper equivalent of approximately 500 MILLION oz of silver sold in a very short period, which ONLY managed to move the price of silver down $2.50 which clearly establishes IMO, the power of the Physical Silver Market underlying such demand.  It also again emphasizes how easily the COMEX is finding itself sliding into irrelevance.

I include one small graphic to make my point......

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Mirror,Mirror on the wall, why is Bernacke back in the Hall , eeh ?

I posted this chart last night in a Msg Board (   http://www.investorvillage.com/smbd.asp?mb=144&pt=m&category=A  ), which is the Precious Metals Bd in Investor Village, that I consider to be advanced enuf that it functions as a Trip-Wire for emerging news and global developments.  There are a few Trolls there but you soon get to know who they are as we beat them regularly. 
    I posted this chart as an development of seeing TVIX on some of my periodic stock scans and I felt it did a good job of illustrating why I think the current market is so dangerous.  The CYAN BLUE is the Wilshire Equity Index ( The Stock Market, for all intents and purposes), and shows what I am thinking.  The TVIX shows complacency in those in the market, and of course their subsequent slaughter on declines.

Monday, March 19, 2012

Reviewing my notes I think I can add a couple more things that will shape

what we might expect to see, a couple from Jim Sinclair as well.

The national sales tax advocated by MA would exempt your basic elements such as Food, Clothing, Shelter and as much as possible, items that would make this a regressive item.

Another item MA previously advocated was a Flat Tax on Corp Profits.  I dont know if this is still on the table in  his mind.

Now, outside of the current resolution of the Debt Crises but yet part of the solution, is to issue no more debt, but to finance by issuing currency instead, again an MA Item.

Now as to what Jim Sinclair had to say,  he expect there to be brought into creation a Virtual World-Wide Reserve Currency, pegged to gold by a valuation mechanism he called something like an Internationally Stablilized Currency Pricing, wherein a Gold Index number was produced on a daily continuing basis by an independent entity.   This way, every country could move it's local currency in and out of the world currency at will based on the valuation.  We shall see if this comes to pass.  It is in his posts on JS MINESET.

A brief look at MA's article published today

Martin Armstrong is an avid ancient history buff and has over time, related current era phenom's back to ancient times, making the current day alchemists a bit uncomfortable.

In the latest PDF published today at http://www.martinarmstrong.org/economic_projections.htm, if you'd care to read it  yourself. It is excellently full of history, sculpture and some good coin pictures as well.

Here are the main four points I got from it, some of which he has previously stated public as well.

These points are what he thinks relates from Caesars Roman Debt Crises Era that would apply here, now:

1/  Reduce by approximately 1/3 to 1/4 Mortgage Debt to distressed homeowners, so as to balance and share the distress without crushing either debtor or lender.

2/  Re-institute the Usery Cap on interest rates limiting it to 9%.

3/ Restrict Banks to Banking only by bringing back a tough GLASS-STEAGAL law (FED & STATE)

4/ Move from Direct Taxation to Indirect Taxation via a National Sales Tax and Abolish IRS in the process.

Pretty Simple, sounds most like RP2012 stuff to me.......

Saturday, March 17, 2012

Feel like your being "Faked-Out"

Whatever kind of "Football"  your handy with,  you know the deception and speed(s) of the moves are what make the game.  Hockey for instance.  Not football but yet so fluid hockey, as the Senators against the Maple Leafs tonite, show you the player with the best moves can fake out the opposition, so harken back to this one year old post, and see what you think.  I think we are right there
 http://denaliguidesummit.blogspot.ca/2011/02/now-is-moment-of-truth-and-deception.html

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Something different, light hearted yet topical

If you ever wished you could display your thoughts easily, you might like this, made from a US Quarter Dollar Silver Coin.

Here is one made by an artisan from a US Half Dollar silver coin:

Monday, March 12, 2012

How Long? Try this WAVE pattern

Including RISING or FALLING Wedges,  an observed price pattern named after its Advocate and Exponent, Bill Wolfe, in its rudimentary form, gives us some concepts of where the prices could shift, if they seek balance in the manner Mr.Wolfe indicates they may, given the last year of market movement.   Understanding that there has been unprecedented market intervention by non-market entities, there is the possibility of skewing and distortion, so this approximation of  how I would apply the Wolfe Wave principles to the current market are shown  here for your interest, and conjecture.

       Not surprisingly this chart shows a potential low of about 10.6K on the DJI ( interpreted back from the DJA Composite) potentially manifesting that low point by about May 1, 2012.   
            If we look back we see Rising Wedges drawn on differing time frames, and without trying to expressly adjust for intervention, it is still easy to impute a like form here as well.
     It is my opinion that the Talking Heads, the supposed experts on Fast Money, CNBC and the rest of the Main Stream Media (MSM) will off "Talking Points" ad nauseum as to why this is not possible, but I will stand strong in the face of this, and say, ITS COMING........
                     The CORRECTION down into the 10K DJI.

Believe as you wish, but don't chances, for after all:

                  ITS  YOUR MONEY>>>>>>>>>>

Thursday, March 8, 2012

How long ?

we know tops take, at times, a maddeningly long time to complete, probably doubly so when the ruling authorities do not want it to materialize.  Truthfully, I do NOT know how long they can keep up this charade, but I offer the previous chart with a GREAT illustration, demo and analysis by STOCK CHARTS, for you here.

First the current WEDGIE.


     Now for what I consider SPOT on ANALYSIS from the CHART SCHOOL at www.stockcharts.com, while on a differing time scale ( days vs weeks) we see the results being very close if  not exactly the same.
I consider this an outstanding comparison..........

Rising Wedge (Reversal)

The rising wedge is a bearish pattern that begins wide at the bottom and contracts as prices move higher and the trading range narrows. In contrast to symmetrical triangles, which have no definitive slope and no bullish or bearish bias, rising wedges definitely slope up and have a bearish bias.
Even though this article will focus on the rising wedge as a reversal pattern, the pattern can also fit into the continuation category. As a continuation pattern, the rising wedge will still slope up, but the slope will be against the prevailing downtrend. As a reversal pattern, the rising wedge will slope up and with the prevailing trend. Regardless of the type (reversal or continuation), rising wedges are bearish.
Dell, Inc. (DELL) Rising Wedge example chart from StockCharts.com
  1. Prior Trend: In order to qualify as a reversal pattern, there must be a prior trend to reverse. The rising wedge usually forms over a 3-6 month period and can mark an intermediate or long-term trend reversal. Sometimes the current trend is totally contained within the rising wedge; other times the pattern will form after an extended advance.
  2. Upper Resistance Line: It takes at least two reaction highs to form the upper resistance line, ideally three. Each reaction high should be higher than the previous high.
  3. Lower Support Line: At least two reaction lows are required to form the lower support line. Each reaction low should be higher than the previous low.
  4. Contraction: The upper resistance line and lower support line converge as the pattern matures. The advances from the reaction lows (lower support line) become shorter and shorter, which makes the rallies unconvincing. This creates an upper resistance line that fails to keep pace with the slope of the lower support line and indicates a supply overhang as prices increase.
  5. Support Break: Bearish confirmation of the pattern does not come until the support line is broken in a convincing fashion. It is sometimes prudent to wait for a break of the previous reaction low. Once support is broken, there can sometimes be a reaction rally to test the newfound resistance level.
  6. Volume: Ideally, volume will decline as prices rise and the wedge evolves. An expansion of volume on the support line break can taken as bearish confirmation.
The rising wedge can be one of the most difficult chart patterns to accurately recognize and trade. While it is a consolidation formation, the loss of upside momentum on each successive high gives the pattern its bearish bias. However, the series of higher highs and higher lows keeps the trend inherently bullish. The final break of support indicates that the forces of supply have finally won out and lower prices are likely. There are no measuring techniques to estimate the decline – other aspects of technical analysis should be employed to forecast price targets

Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Now this is a WEDGIE that could hurt !


          LOOK like the party is just getting started this week as the candles fall out of the wedge......

   and where she stops, nobody knows.  Anyone speak Greek ?

Thursday, March 1, 2012

"5 Lb's Sugar in a 2 Lb BAG" old expression -> IT LOOKS LIKE THIS


           Once you see it, its not real complicated and yes they do that with stocks.....
#1, the Breadth, the number or stocks moving up or down, in a moving average rises or falls up or down
#2, theoretically, the Stock Price Index moves in step with the Breadth Index,
#3, the Money Flow Index measures the amount and speed with which money flows into or out of stocks.

     Pretty simple right?  Sure, except as you can see by the Breadth, the number of stocks moving up, is falling and yet the Price Index is  moving upwards.  WHY ?  Because more and more money is being forced into fewer and fewer stocks.  Note that the overall volume is falling, making it even clearer that the market is being force-fed $$$ into fewer and fewer stocks.  

   Given all of that and the previous post here, I think this is its own very competent commentary.  Caution.

I wont clutter this up with any more words.  'Nuf said !!

GUESTBOOK